Gungahlin 1-0 Monaro Panthers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.1pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.4pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gungahlin EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaro Panthers EU Bookmakers 42%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.14/3.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.28
+25% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gungahlin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Monaro Panthers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2023 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 1-2 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVTCT
29.07.2023 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 0-0 HT 0-0 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
09.07.2023 Gungahlin Gungahlin 1-2 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVTCT
15.04.2023 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 3-2 HT 1-2 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
24.09.2022 Gungahlin Gungahlin 0-2 HT 0-1 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVTCT
07.08.2022 Gungahlin Gungahlin 2-2 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVTCT
POST-MATCH Gungahlin vs Monaro Panthers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gungahlin squeezed past Monaro Panthers 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Gungahlin made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaro Panthers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gungahlin and 1.67 for Monaro Panthers.

What was the final score of Gungahlin vs Monaro Panthers?

Gungahlin 1-0 Monaro Panthers in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gungahlin vs Monaro Panthers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gungahlin win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gungahlin 35%, draw 31%, Monaro Panthers 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gungahlin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gungahlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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