Western Sydney W. II 0-6 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.3pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.85/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.28
+36% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney W. II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.31 xG 2.01
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
420 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
08.07.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 1-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
25.03.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 2-2 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
14.08.2020 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Western Sydney W. II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers swept aside Western Sydney W. II 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day APIA Leichhardt Tigers made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Western Sydney W. II and 2.00 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Western Sydney W. II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Western Sydney W. II 0-6 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney W. II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney W. II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney W. II 38%, draw 26%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 36%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Western Sydney W. II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney W. II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
28 Apr 2024
07:30 Charlestown City Blues vs Broadmeadow Magic Analysis →
07:30 Newcastle Olympic vs New Lambton FC Analysis →
08:00 Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Rochedale Rovers Analysis →
08:00 Gungahlin vs Monaro Panthers Analysis →
08:00 Sydney Olympic vs Blacktown City Demons Analysis →
08:00 Brisbane City vs Peninsula Power Analysis →