Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-1 Rochedale Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0-1 HT 0-1
Rochedale Rovers
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Rochedale Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-9.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers v Rochedale Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochedale Rovers EU Bookmakers 33%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.59/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.31
-20% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Rochedale Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Rochedale Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
25.06.2023 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
19.03.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Rochedale Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochedale Rovers edged past Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Rochedale Rovers made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sunshine Coast Wanderers had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sunshine Coast Wanderers and 1.00 for Rochedale Rovers.

What was the final score of Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Rochedale Rovers?

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-1 Rochedale Rovers in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Rochedale Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunshine Coast Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Coast Wanderers 40%, draw 24%, Rochedale Rovers 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sunshine Coast Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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