Newcastle Olympic 2-1 New Lambton FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-4.1pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.5pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Olympic EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-58% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
386 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Olympic
2W-0D-0L
AWAY New Lambton FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2023 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 2-1 HT 1-1 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNSW
28.04.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Newcastle Olympic vs New Lambton FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Olympic edged past New Lambton FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Newcastle Olympic as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Newcastle Olympic had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Newcastle Olympic and 1.00 for New Lambton FC.

What was the final score of Newcastle Olympic vs New Lambton FC?

Newcastle Olympic 2-1 New Lambton FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Olympic vs New Lambton FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Olympic 60%, draw 19%, New Lambton FC 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Olympic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Olympic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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