Bumprom 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bumprom EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 56%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.75/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.46
-40% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bumprom
1W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.05.2024 Bumprom Bumprom 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
12.11.2023 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 1-4 HT 0-0 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
08.07.2023 Bumprom Bumprom 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bumprom
1-1
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bumprom vs FC Volna Pinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bumprom and FC Volna Pinsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Volna Pinsk at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bumprom had 46% of the ball to FC Volna Pinsk's 54%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bumprom and 1.00 for FC Volna Pinsk.

What was the final score of Bumprom vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Bumprom 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bumprom vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bumprom 32%, draw 24%, FC Volna Pinsk 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BLR1 More Belarus - 1st Division
3 May 2025
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