Bumprom 1-2 FC Volna Pinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.59
Over 2.5
45%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.7pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
35%
+20.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
65%
-20.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bumprom EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.49/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.82
+51% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +95%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bumprom
1W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
12.11.2023 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 1-4 HT 0-0 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
08.07.2023 Bumprom Bumprom 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
POST-MATCH Bumprom vs FC Volna Pinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk edged past Bumprom 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; FC Volna Pinsk found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bumprom had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bumprom and 0.50 for FC Volna Pinsk.

What was the final score of Bumprom vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Bumprom 1-2 FC Volna Pinsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bumprom vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bumprom 33%, draw 32%, FC Volna Pinsk 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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