04/05/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
Belshina vs Torpedo BelAZ II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
80%
23%
Draw
11%
20%
Away Win
8%
45%
Under 2.5
24%
55%
Over 2.5
76%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Belshina v Torpedo BelAZ II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Belshina
EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Torpedo BelAZ II
EU Bookmakers 11%
+11% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+2%
/
+137%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
16
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Target
5
7
Corners
4
470 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
244 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.6
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Belshina vs Torpedo BelAZ II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Belshina edged past Torpedo BelAZ II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Belshina as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Belshina vs Torpedo BelAZ II?
Belshina 2-1 Torpedo BelAZ II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Belshina vs Torpedo BelAZ II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Belshina win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Belshina 57%, draw 23%, Torpedo BelAZ II 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belshina), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Belshina)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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BLR1
More Belarus - 1st Division
4 May 2024