PFC Beroe 0-3 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
55%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+2.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.6pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 56%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.75/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.98
-20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
0W-0D-3L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
21.09.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
02.09.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-3 HT 0-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
0-3
AWAY CSKA Sofia
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia cruised past PFC Beroe 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 43% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 57%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for PFC Beroe and 2.00 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs CSKA Sofia?

PFC Beroe 0-3 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 22%, draw 23%, CSKA Sofia 54%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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