CSKA Sofia 1-0 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

CSKA Sofia
1-0 HT 1-0
PFC Beroe
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

CSKA Sofia vs PFC Beroe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.25
Draw
26%
5.15
Away
22%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.67
No
57%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
76%
-24.2pp
26%
Draw
17%
+9.0pp
22%
Away Win
7%
+15.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
33%
+9.8pp
57%
BTTS No
67%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CSKA Sofia v PFC Beroe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 9%
-22% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.72/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.60
-19% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.6

CSKA Sofia vs PFC Beroe Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY PFC Beroe
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-3 HT 0-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1

CSKA Sofia 1-0 PFC Beroe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
1-0
AWAY PFC Beroe
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia nicked a narrow win over PFC Beroe 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 64% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 36%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

CSKA Sofia 1-0 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 52%, draw 26%, PFC Beroe 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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