Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.18
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
80%
-20.6pp
24%
Draw
13%
+11.2pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.1pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.09/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/2.87
+57% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -31%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
483 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
72% Ball Possession 28%
24 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 6-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
24.09.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-3 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
21.04.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad beat Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.33 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 60%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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