Ludogorets Razgrad 6-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.1pp
18%
Draw
11%
+7.1pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.8pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 9%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.97/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/2.46
+57% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
478 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
71% Ball Possession 29%
26 Total Shots 2
12 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-3 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
21.04.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
6-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
73% Ball Possession 27%
19 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad ran out comfortable winners over Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 73% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 27%, shots finished 19-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.50 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Ludogorets Razgrad 6-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 66%, draw 18%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 16%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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