Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-3 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
46%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.68
Over 2.5
31%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.33
No
68%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+9.8pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.5pp
46%
Away Win
64%
-18.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
56%
+13.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
44%
-13.1pp
32%
BTTS Yes
39%
-7.1pp
68%
BTTS No
61%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etar Veliko Tarnovo EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 69%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.37/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.88
-52% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
199 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20% Ball Possession 80%
0 Total Shots 32
0 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo Etar Veliko Tarnovo BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0-3
AWAY Levski Sofia
35% Ball Possession 65%
2 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia ran out comfortable winners over Etar Veliko Tarnovo 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (68%) landed while under 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

On the day, Etar Veliko Tarnovo had 35% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 65%, shots finished 2-11.

What was the final score of Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Levski Sofia?

Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-3 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Etar Veliko Tarnovo 24%, draw 31%, Levski Sofia 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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