Trans Narva 4-0 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 22%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.35/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.78
-31% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
3W-1D-2L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
03.11.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 3-3 HT 2-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
31.08.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
27.05.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-2 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
16.03.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-5 HT 0-2 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
07.10.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-0 HT 2-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
4-0
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva cruised past JK Tammeka Tartu 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trans Narva as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Trans Narva had 70% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 30%, shots finished 20-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trans Narva had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Trans Narva and 1.67 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Trans Narva 4-0 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 47%, draw 26%, JK Tammeka Tartu 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trans Narva) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✗ Under 2.5
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