Orbit College 1-0 Baroka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.4pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orbit College EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Baroka EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
0.85/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.18
-31% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orbit College
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Baroka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
25.08.2024 Baroka Baroka 1-1 HT 1-1 Orbit College Orbit College GAF1
03.04.2024 Baroka Baroka 2-1 HT 0-1 Orbit College Orbit College GAF1
11.11.2023 Orbit College Orbit College 0-1 HT 0-1 Baroka Baroka GAF1
POST-MATCH Orbit College vs Baroka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orbit College edged past Baroka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Orbit College made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baroka led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orbit College and 1.33 for Baroka.

What was the final score of Orbit College vs Baroka?

Orbit College 1-0 Baroka in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orbit College vs Baroka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orbit College win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Orbit College 39%, draw 33%, Baroka 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orbit College), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orbit College) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAF1 More South Afrika - 1st Division
3 May 2025
16:00 Kruger United vs Leruma United Analysis →
16:00 Pretoria Callies vs Hungry Lions Analysis →
16:05 Upington City vs Milford Analysis →