Gyeongju HNP 2-3 Siheung Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+4.9pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.29/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.37
-4% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Siheung Citizen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
01.09.2024 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
03.05.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-1 HT 1-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
28.10.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 0-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
03.06.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 2-1 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
02.07.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-1 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
19.03.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen squeezed past Gyeongju HNP 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongju HNP at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Siheung Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 1.17 for Siheung Citizen.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung Citizen?

Gyeongju HNP 2-3 Siheung Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 50%, draw 22%, Siheung Citizen 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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