FC Goa 3-0 Jamshedpur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.56
2-3 Goals
32%
1.79
4-5 Goals
28%
3.14
6+ Goals
7%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 33% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jamshedpur
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.03 xG 1.48
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
303 Passes 215
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 3-1 HT 2-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
17.09.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 1-2 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
09.04.2024 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
27.11.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
10.04.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 3-5 HT 1-3 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HINSK
22.12.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Jamshedpur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa cruised past Jamshedpur 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Goa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jamshedpur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Goa and 2.33 for Jamshedpur.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Jamshedpur?

FC Goa 3-0 Jamshedpur in the India - Super Cup on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Jamshedpur?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 41%, draw 28%, Jamshedpur 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Goa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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