Jamshedpur 2-3 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
46%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
29%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
46%
Away Win
57%
-11.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 62%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.24/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.23
+5% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
19.1 Crosses 28.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamshedpur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Goa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.01 xG 0.89
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
181 Passes 392
64% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.11.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
10.04.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 3-5 HT 1-3 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HINSK
22.12.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
03.11.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 3-0 HT 2-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
28.01.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
26.11.2021 FC Goa FC Goa 1-3 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamshedpur
2-3
AWAY FC Goa
1.41 xG 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
277 Passes 350
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 33
23 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jamshedpur vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa squeezed past Jamshedpur 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Goa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jamshedpur had 45% of the ball to FC Goa's 55%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.41 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jamshedpur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jamshedpur and 1.67 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of Jamshedpur vs FC Goa?

Jamshedpur 2-3 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamshedpur vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jamshedpur 31%, draw 23%, FC Goa 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Goa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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