Chennaiyin FC 2-1 NorthEast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.49
No
53%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.44
2-3 Goals
44%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.5pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
63%
-16.1pp
53%
BTTS No
37%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -17%
1.49/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.40
-19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.8 Crosses 13.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chennaiyin FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY NorthEast United
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.35 xG 1.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
331 Passes 257
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 3-0 HT 1-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
11.04.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 4-2 HT 2-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HINSK
24.02.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 4-3 HT 1-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
10.12.2022 NorthEast United NorthEast United 3-7 HT 1-3 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
22.01.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 2-1 HT 0-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
29.11.2021 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-2 HT 0-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chennaiyin FC
2-1
AWAY NorthEast United
1.37 xG 1.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
230 Passes 189
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
32 Box Touches 16
32 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chennaiyin FC vs NorthEast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chennaiyin FC nicked a narrow win over NorthEast United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chennaiyin FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Chennaiyin FC had 54% of the ball to NorthEast United's 46%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.37 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chennaiyin FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Chennaiyin FC and 2.17 for NorthEast United.

What was the final score of Chennaiyin FC vs NorthEast United?

Chennaiyin FC 2-1 NorthEast United in the India - Super League on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chennaiyin FC vs NorthEast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chennaiyin FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chennaiyin FC 47%, draw 21%, NorthEast United 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chennaiyin FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chennaiyin FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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