Riga Mariners 1-2 JFK Ventspils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.95
Over 2.5
61%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.66
No
36%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
48%
-9.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
52%
+9.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.5pp
36%
BTTS No
44%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils nicked a narrow win over Riga Mariners 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JFK Ventspils as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils?

Riga Mariners 1-2 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils?

Before kick-off our model rated an JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Riga Mariners 32%, draw 25%, JFK Ventspils 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JFK Ventspils), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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