Rigas FS II 2-1 Leevon / PPK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
60%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.3pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas FS II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.51/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas FS II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Leevon / PPK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
20.10.2024 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 1-0 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK LET1
28.06.2024 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK 1-2 HT 1-1 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II LET1
POST-MATCH Rigas FS II vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas FS II nicked a narrow win over Leevon / PPK 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas FS II as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rigas FS II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rigas FS II and 0.50 for Leevon / PPK.

What was the final score of Rigas FS II vs Leevon / PPK?

Rigas FS II 2-1 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas FS II vs Leevon / PPK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Rigas FS II 59%, draw 23%, Leevon / PPK 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas FS II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rigas FS II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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