Rigas FS II 1-0 Leevon / PPK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.27
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-16.4pp
25%
Draw
16%
+9.2pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas FS II EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
3.67/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+58% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas FS II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leevon / PPK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.06.2024 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK 1-2 HT 1-1 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II LET1
POST-MATCH Rigas FS II vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas FS II edged past Leevon / PPK 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rigas FS II as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Rigas FS II vs Leevon / PPK?

Rigas FS II 1-0 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas FS II vs Leevon / PPK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Rigas FS II 58%, draw 25%, Leevon / PPK 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas FS II), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas FS II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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