20/10/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Rigas FS II vs Leevon / PPK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
25%
Draw
16%
17%
Away Win
10%
47%
Under 2.5
35%
53%
Over 2.5
65%
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
52%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rigas FS II v Leevon / PPK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Rigas FS II
EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Leevon / PPK
EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-18% /
-18%
3.67/0.77
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/3.00
+58%
/
+20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-17%
59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
410 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
227 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Rigas FS II vs Leevon / PPK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Rigas FS II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Leevon / PPK
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Rigas FS II vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Rigas FS II edged past Leevon / PPK 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rigas FS II as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Rigas FS II vs Leevon / PPK?
Rigas FS II 1-0 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rigas FS II vs Leevon / PPK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Rigas FS II 58%, draw 25%, Leevon / PPK 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas FS II), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Rigas FS II)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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