Notodden 2-1 Pors Grenland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 3 May 2025

Notodden
2-1 HT 0-1
Pors Grenland
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2025

Notodden vs Pors Grenland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.38
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
50%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.26
6+ Goals
8%
11.9
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.78 — our 50% vs market 48.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notodden v Pors Grenland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pors Grenland EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.95/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-9% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

Notodden vs Pors Grenland Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Pors Grenland
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
The Meetings
24.05.2023 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 0-2 HT 0-1 Notodden Notodden NOK
18.04.2018 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 1-1 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOK
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Pors Grenland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden nicked a narrow win over Pors Grenland 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Notodden as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Notodden had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Notodden and 0.50 for Pors Grenland.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Pors Grenland?

Notodden 2-1 Pors Grenland in the Norway - 2nd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Pors Grenland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notodden win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Notodden 50%, draw 25%, Pors Grenland 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notodden) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Notodden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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