Tromsdalen 2-1 Follo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.98
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.41
No
29%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
7.27
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
41%
2.24
4-5 Goals
25%
2.35
6+ Goals
22%
4.17
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.24 — our 41% vs market 37.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.3pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.7pp
71%
BTTS Yes
67%
+3.8pp
29%
BTTS No
33%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsdalen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Follo EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.95/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/3.36
+34% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsdalen
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Follo
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.09.2024 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 8-0 HT 1-0 Follo Follo NOR3
02.06.2024 Follo Follo 3-1 HT 3-0 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR3
24.10.2010 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 0-2 HT 0-0 Follo Follo NOR1
09.05.2010 Follo Follo 4-0 HT 1-0 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR1
21.05.2006 Follo Follo 1-2 HT 1-1 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR1
POST-MATCH Tromsdalen vs Follo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsdalen edged past Follo 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tromsdalen as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (71%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Follo led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Tromsdalen and 2.00 for Follo.

What was the final score of Tromsdalen vs Follo?

Tromsdalen 2-1 Follo in the Norway - 2nd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsdalen vs Follo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsdalen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tromsdalen 50%, draw 27%, Follo 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsdalen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tromsdalen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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