SSC Farul 1-0 Buzau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-13.5pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.0pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Buzau EU Bookmakers 14%
-20% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.62/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.20
-14% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
455 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
15.0 Crosses 11.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Buzau
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.94 xG 0.49
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
420 Passes 263
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
10.02.2025 SSC Farul SSC Farul 1-0 HT 0-0 Buzau Buzau ROM
29.09.2024 Buzau Buzau 1-0 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
02.11.2023 Buzau Buzau 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROMK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
1-0
AWAY Buzau
0.46 xG 1.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
399 Passes 249
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs Buzau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul nicked a narrow win over Buzau 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SSC Farul as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SSC Farul had 59% of the ball to Buzau's 41%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.46 to 1.02 — on chances, Buzau could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Buzau led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for SSC Farul and 0.67 for Buzau.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs Buzau?

SSC Farul 1-0 Buzau in the Romania - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs Buzau?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Farul win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 60%, draw 23%, Buzau 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SSC Farul), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SSC Farul) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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