Buzau 1-0 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 29% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buzau EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buzau
1W-0D-0L
AWAY SSC Farul
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
02.11.2023 Buzau Buzau 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROMK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buzau
1-0
AWAY SSC Farul
0.48 xG 0.61
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
266 Passes 387
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Buzau vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buzau squeezed past SSC Farul 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Buzau made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Buzau had 44% of the ball to SSC Farul's 56%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.48 to 0.61.

What was the final score of Buzau vs SSC Farul?

Buzau 1-0 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buzau vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated an SSC Farul win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Buzau 32%, draw 29%, SSC Farul 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SSC Farul), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SSC Farul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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