ND Slovan Ljubljana 1-1 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 3 May 2025

ND Slovan Ljubljana
1-1 HT 1-1
Ilirija
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Slovenia - 2.SNL – 2024/2025

ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Ilirija Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ND Slovan Ljubljana v Ilirija — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Slovan Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -20%
1.28/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.41
-15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Ilirija Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Slovan Ljubljana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ilirija
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 0-0 ND Slovan Ljubljana SLVN2

ND Slovan Ljubljana 1-1 Ilirija — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Slovan Ljubljana
1-1
AWAY Ilirija
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Slovan Ljubljana and Ilirija couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, ND Slovan Ljubljana had 49% of the ball to Ilirija's 51%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Ilirija?

ND Slovan Ljubljana 1-1 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a ND Slovan Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ND Slovan Ljubljana 40%, draw 28%, Ilirija 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ND Slovan Ljubljana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ND Slovan Ljubljana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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