Tolmin 0-4 Rudar Velenje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.5pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.5pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-8.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tolmin EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 46%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
0.76/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.76
-39% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tolmin
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rudar Velenje
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 2-1 HT 1-0 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
29.03.2024 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 3-1 HT 0-0 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
16.09.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 3-0 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
POST-MATCH Tolmin vs Rudar Velenje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rudar Velenje ran out comfortable winners over Tolmin 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Rudar Velenje made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rudar Velenje led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tolmin and 1.67 for Rudar Velenje.

What was the final score of Tolmin vs Rudar Velenje?

Tolmin 0-4 Rudar Velenje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tolmin vs Rudar Velenje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rudar Velenje win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 32%, draw 34%, Rudar Velenje 34%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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