Rudar Velenje 2-1 Tolmin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tolmin EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.21/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.52
-26% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
273 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudar Velenje
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Tolmin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 3-1 HT 0-0 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
16.09.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 3-0 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudar Velenje
2-1
AWAY Tolmin
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Rudar Velenje vs Tolmin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rudar Velenje squeezed past Tolmin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rudar Velenje as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rudar Velenje had 54% of the ball to Tolmin's 46%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rudar Velenje and 2.00 for Tolmin.

What was the final score of Rudar Velenje vs Tolmin?

Rudar Velenje 2-1 Tolmin in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudar Velenje vs Tolmin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rudar Velenje win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rudar Velenje 42%, draw 27%, Tolmin 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rudar Velenje) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rudar Velenje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
18 Oct 2024
00:00 Triglav vs Krka Analysis →