Triglav 3-0 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.86/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.99
+22% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +54%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Krka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Krka Krka 3-1 HT 1-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
12.08.2023 Triglav Triglav 0-1 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
26.11.2022 Triglav Triglav 0-4 HT 0-4 Krka Krka SLVN2
14.08.2022 Krka Krka 2-0 HT 2-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
19.11.2021 Triglav Triglav 2-1 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
25.05.2014 Krka Krka 3-0 HT 2-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN
POST-MATCH Triglav vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav ran out comfortable winners over Krka 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Triglav as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krka led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Triglav and 2.33 for Krka.

What was the final score of Triglav vs Krka?

Triglav 3-0 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Triglav 49%, draw 25%, Krka 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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