Rudar Velenje 3-1 Tolmin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-11.4pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tolmin EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.67/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/0.83
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +92%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudar Velenje
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tolmin
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
6 Corners 5
16.09.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 3-0 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudar Velenje
3-1
AWAY Tolmin
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rudar Velenje vs Tolmin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rudar Velenje saw off Tolmin 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rudar Velenje as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rudar Velenje had 49% of the ball to Tolmin's 51%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Rudar Velenje vs Tolmin?

Rudar Velenje 3-1 Tolmin in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudar Velenje vs Tolmin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rudar Velenje win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rudar Velenje 42%, draw 31%, Tolmin 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rudar Velenje), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rudar Velenje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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