Ilirija 1-2 Triglav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 29 Mar 2024

Ilirija
1-2 HT 0-1
Triglav
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Slovenia - 2.SNL – 2023/2024

Ilirija vs Triglav Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-9.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+8.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ilirija v Triglav — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Triglav EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.21/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.71
-25% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Ilirija vs Triglav Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Triglav
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Triglav Triglav 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
10.03.2023 Triglav Triglav 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
28.08.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 5-0 HT 2-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
21.05.2022 Triglav Triglav 1-1 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
06.11.2021 Ilirija Ilirija 0-2 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav nicked a narrow win over Ilirija 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Triglav as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ilirija had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Ilirija and 0.60 for Triglav.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs Triglav?

Ilirija 1-2 Triglav in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Triglav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 31%, draw 27%, Triglav 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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