68 Aksaray Belediyespor 0-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.2pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.5pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.86/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.44
+9% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2024 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-1 HT 1-0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0-1
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor squeezed past 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was 68 Aksaray Belediyespor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor had 64% of the ball to Karacabey Belediye Spor's 36%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

68 Aksaray Belediyespor 0-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a 68 Aksaray Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 45%, draw 31%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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