Elazığspor 1-0 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.29
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-11.9pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.3pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu EU Bookmakers 12%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.01/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.68
-10% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -22%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
436 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elazığspor
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2024 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 2-3 HT 2-2 Elazığspor Elazığspor T2L-K
19.03.2023 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 2-1 HT 0-1 Elazığspor Elazığspor S3-1
15.10.2022 Elazığspor Elazığspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu S3-1
POST-MATCH Elazığspor vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elazığspor squeezed past Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Elazığspor as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Elazığspor and 2.00 for Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu.

What was the final score of Elazığspor vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu?

Elazığspor 1-0 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elazığspor vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Elazığspor 61%, draw 19%, Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elazığspor), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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