Fittja 5-3 Smedby AIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.7pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fittja EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Smedby AIS EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fittja vs Smedby AIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fittja got the better of Smedby AIS 5-3. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Smedby AIS at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Fittja vs Smedby AIS?

Fittja 5-3 Smedby AIS in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fittja vs Smedby AIS?

Before kick-off our model rated an Smedby AIS win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fittja 35%, draw 25%, Smedby AIS 41%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Smedby AIS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Smedby AIS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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