Stenungsund 2-0 IF Karlstad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+7.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY IF Karlstad II EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.46/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.51
-19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenungsund
0W-0D-2L
AWAY IF Karlstad II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
13.11.2021 Stenungsund Stenungsund 2-3 HT 1-1 IF Karlstad II IF Karlstad II İSÇ4
05.09.2021 IF Karlstad II IF Karlstad II 3-2 HT 1-2 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Stenungsund vs IF Karlstad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenungsund beat IF Karlstad II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stenungsund as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stenungsund and 3.00 for IF Karlstad II.

What was the final score of Stenungsund vs IF Karlstad II?

Stenungsund 2-0 IF Karlstad II in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenungsund vs IF Karlstad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenungsund win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stenungsund 49%, draw 23%, IF Karlstad II 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenungsund) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenungsund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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