La Union Atletico 1-0 Puente Genil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Puente Genil EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.23/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.57
-14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Union Atletico
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Puente Genil
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.10.2025 Puente Genil Puente Genil 0-0 HT 0-0 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Union Atletico
1-0
AWAY Puente Genil
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs Puente Genil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico squeezed past Puente Genil 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had La Union Atletico as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, La Union Atletico had 46% of the ball to Puente Genil's 54%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs Puente Genil?

La Union Atletico 1-0 Puente Genil in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs Puente Genil?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Union Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 49%, draw 26%, Puente Genil 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Union Atletico), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Union Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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