Real Madrid III 0-1 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.31/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.05
-19% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid III
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Conquense
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Conquense Conquense 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III İS4
27.04.2025 Conquense Conquense 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III İS4
15.12.2024 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III 0-1 HT 0-0 Conquense Conquense İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid III
0-1
AWAY Conquense
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Madrid III vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Conquense edged past Real Madrid III 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid III at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Madrid III had 56% of the ball to Conquense's 44%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Conquense led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Real Madrid III and 1.00 for Conquense.

What was the final score of Real Madrid III vs Conquense?

Real Madrid III 0-1 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid III vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid III win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid III 52%, draw 29%, Conquense 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Madrid III) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid III) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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