Navalcarnero 3-1 Fuenlabrada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.52/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.24
+15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Navalcarnero
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuenlabrada
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2025 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 1-0 HT 1-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
3-1
AWAY Fuenlabrada
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero saw off Fuenlabrada 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Navalcarnero as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 53% of the ball to Fuenlabrada's 47%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada?

Navalcarnero 3-1 Fuenlabrada in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 48%, draw 25%, Fuenlabrada 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Navalcarnero) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✗ Under 2.5
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