Conquense 1-0 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Conquense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.06/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.64
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +58%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
265 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Conquense
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Madrid III
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Conquense Conquense 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III İS4
15.12.2024 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III 0-1 HT 0-0 Conquense Conquense İS4
POST-MATCH Conquense vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Conquense nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid III 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Conquense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Conquense had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Conquense and 0.50 for Real Madrid III.

What was the final score of Conquense vs Real Madrid III?

Conquense 1-0 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Conquense vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid III win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Conquense 34%, draw 29%, Real Madrid III 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Madrid III) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid III) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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