Bellinzona 2-4 Rapperswil-Jona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 3 May 2026

Bellinzona
2-4 HT 1-3
Rapperswil-Jona
📅03/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2025/2026

Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
9.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.2pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bellinzona v Rapperswil-Jona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.33/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.58
-23% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +99%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.2 Crosses 15.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.48 xG 2.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
351 Passes 394
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.02.2026 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 2-1 HT 2-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
28.11.2025 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 2-1 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
13.09.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV2
30.04.2022 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 2-2 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
15.08.2020 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 1-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapperswil-Jona saw off Bellinzona 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bellinzona at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rapperswil-Jona led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Bellinzona and 1.60 for Rapperswil-Jona.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Bellinzona 2-4 Rapperswil-Jona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 44%, draw 22%, Rapperswil-Jona 33%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bellinzona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bellinzona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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