Yverdon vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Yverdon v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals
Yverdon vs Etoile Carouge Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
6-0
HT 2-0
Etoile Carouge
İSV1Y
Yverdon 3-5 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics
Etoile Carouge got the better of Yverdon 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Yverdon carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Yverdon had 52% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 48%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.09 to 1.62 — on chances, Yverdon could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yverdon had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Yverdon and 1.00 for Etoile Carouge.
What was the final score of Yverdon vs Etoile Carouge?
Yverdon 3-5 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Etoile Carouge?
Before kick-off our model rated a Yverdon win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 59%, draw 19%, Etoile Carouge 22%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yverdon) went the other way.