Yverdon 2-0 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
13%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.04
2-3 Goals
46%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
63%
+3.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
13%
Away Win
16%
-3.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.4pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 20%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
3.48/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.86
+24% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
14.0 Crosses 12.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.44 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
500 Passes 266
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
12.09.2025 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-1 HT 1-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
05.09.2020 Yverdon Yverdon 6-0 HT 2-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
2-0
AWAY Etoile Carouge
0.61 xG 0.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 Passes 314
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon got the better of Etoile Carouge 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yverdon as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yverdon had 52% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 48%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.61 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Yverdon and 1.00 for Etoile Carouge.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Etoile Carouge?

Yverdon 2-0 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yverdon win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 67%, draw 20%, Etoile Carouge 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yverdon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yverdon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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