Etoile Carouge 2-2 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.61
No
37%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.61
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.02
6+ Goals
17%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+5.4pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 48%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.02/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.19
-53% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
13.7 Crosses 11.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Yverdon
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.90 xG 0.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
290 Passes 425
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Yverdon Yverdon 2-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
12.09.2025 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-1 HT 1-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
05.09.2020 Yverdon Yverdon 6-0 HT 2-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
2-2
AWAY Yverdon
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge and Yverdon couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yverdon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 44% of the ball to Yverdon's 56%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yverdon led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Etoile Carouge and 3.00 for Yverdon.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Yverdon?

Etoile Carouge 2-2 Yverdon in the Switzerland Challenge League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yverdon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 29%, draw 29%, Yverdon 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yverdon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yverdon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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