Rapperswil-Jona 2-1 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 20 Feb 2026

Rapperswil-Jona
2-1 HT 2-1
Bellinzona
📅20/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2025/2026

Rapperswil-Jona vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.36
2-3 Goals
34%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rapperswil-Jona v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 30%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
2.22/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.58
-16% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.1 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Rapperswil-Jona vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapperswil-Jona
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2.15 xG 1.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
424 Passes 354
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.11.2025 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 2-1 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
13.09.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV2
30.04.2022 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 2-2 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV1Y
15.08.2020 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 1-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Rapperswil-Jona vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapperswil-Jona nicked a narrow win over Bellinzona 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rapperswil-Jona as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rapperswil-Jona had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rapperswil-Jona and 1.25 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Rapperswil-Jona vs Bellinzona?

Rapperswil-Jona 2-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapperswil-Jona vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapperswil-Jona win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rapperswil-Jona 44%, draw 25%, Bellinzona 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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