Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stade Nyonnais v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Stade Nyonnais 1-1 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Stade Nyonnais and Aarau shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Aarau carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 51% of the ball to Aarau's 49%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.44 to 1.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 2.17 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau?
Stade Nyonnais 1-1 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 21%, draw 22%, Aarau 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5 went the other way.