Stade Nyonnais 1-2 Aarau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarau EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.50/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.49
-29% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
21.1 Crosses 13.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Nyonnais
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Aarau
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.72 xG 1.46
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
259 Passes 294
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 4-3 HT 2-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
10.02.2024 Aarau Aarau 5-2 HT 3-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
12.11.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 4-0 HT 1-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
01.09.2023 Aarau Aarau 0-2 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Nyonnais
1-2
AWAY Aarau
1.25 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
342 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau nicked a narrow win over Stade Nyonnais 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Aarau made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 53% of the ball to Aarau's 47%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.25 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stade Nyonnais had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 2.00 for Aarau.

What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau?

Stade Nyonnais 1-2 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Nyonnais win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 37%, draw 26%, Aarau 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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