Stade Ouchy 5-1 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.4pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.46/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.02
+7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
13.0 Crosses 13.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
5-1
AWAY Etoile Carouge
3.46 xG 1.27
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
244 Passes 476
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 13
4 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy cruised past Etoile Carouge 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Stade Ouchy made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 37% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 63%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 3.46 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge?

Stade Ouchy 5-1 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 38%, draw 28%, Etoile Carouge 34%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Ouchy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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