Thun 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
2.14/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.35
+5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.5 Crosses 20.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.52 xG 1.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
430 Passes 303
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Thun Thun 4-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
23.02.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 4-0 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSV2
07.10.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
11.08.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 4-0 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSV2
28.04.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
05.02.2023 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
1-0
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.40 xG 0.72
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
340 Passes 261
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Thun vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun nicked a narrow win over Neuchatel Xamax 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Thun had 55% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 45%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.40 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Thun and 1.67 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Thun vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Thun 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Thun 47%, draw 24%, Neuchatel Xamax 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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