Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aarau v Stade Nyonnais — Team-Based Signals
Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Aarau
İSV2
0-2
HT 0-0
Stade Nyonnais
İSV2
Aarau 1-0 Stade Nyonnais — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau nicked a narrow win over Stade Nyonnais 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aarau had 55% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 45%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 4.28 to 0.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aarau's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stade Nyonnais led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aarau and 2.60 for Stade Nyonnais.
What was the final score of Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
Aarau 1-0 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aarau 46%, draw 24%, Stade Nyonnais 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.