Etoile Carouge 1-1 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 32%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.74/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.86
+77% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 85%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
11.0 Crosses 14.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
1.27 xG 3.46
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
476 Passes 244
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 21
5 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 5-1 HT 2-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
1-1
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.98 xG 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
348 Passes 311
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge and Stade Ouchy shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Etoile Carouge at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 52% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 48%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.98 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Stade Ouchy?

Etoile Carouge 1-1 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 44%, draw 27%, Stade Ouchy 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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